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11/22/2004

The Race for 2008

I got a pretty good response from my first installment of the Democratic race for the 2008 nomination, so I will do it again. I had a request to publish the candidates position on various social issues, so I am working on that and will do so ASAP. Just a note here, the symbol in the parenthesis is an indicator of movement on the list + - NM (no movement)

1. Hillary Clinton - Senator NY - (+) I know she was number one last week, but I gave her a + because of all the pub she got last week with the opening of the Clinton Library. I still don't believe she would be the best nominee, or that she will in fact be the nominee, but right now she is still on top.

2. John Edwards - Former VP Candidate - NC - (NM) - Edwards stays at number two this week. There really wasn't much news out of Edwards, presumably he is dealing with his wife's health concerns. His name recognition is enough to keep at number two for now, but like with Hillary, I don't believe he will be or should be the nominee.

3. Barak Obama - Sen - IL - (NM) - Again, not much news recently out of Obama. Everyone is waiting to see him in action in the Senate. He stays at number three because everyone has high hopes for him. I still think 2008 is too early for him, but time will tell.

4. Mark Warner - Gov - VA - (+) - Warner is the biggest mover on the list this week, up from number eight last week. The reason for his move is simple, everyone is talking about him. From the Washington Post to blogs dedicated to his candidacy (Warner in 2008, Mark Warner for President in 2008) Warner is the flavor of the month, and with good reason. Here is the formula: Blue Governor + Red State = White House.

5. Bill Richardson - Gov - NM (NM) - Again, Richardson has been laying low in recent weeks, not much new on him. He has the formula (see above), I'm just not sure he wants the job. We will just have to stay tuned.

6. John Kerry - Sen - Mass - (NM) - I still don't think he will be nominated again, nor do I think he should be, but you have to give him credit. This weekend he sent an email to supporters outlining a bill he intends to introduce to the full Senate during the next session. The bill calls for every child in America have health insurance. Kerry said he would take a more active role as a leader in the Senate, and if he gets this done it will be a great start.

7. Evan Bayh - Sen - Indiana (-) Bayh moved down two spots, mostly because Warner moved up and I couldn't put him ahead of Richardson or Kerry. The more I think about Bayh the more conflicted I am. He is a Senator which is bad, but he used to be a Blue Governor from a Red State which is good. He is Pro-Choice which is good, but also Pro-Death Penalty which is bad. I just don't know if this is the guy to energize the base or to bring over moderate Republicans. My fear with Bayh is that we would move the center and still lose and then what?

8. Mike Easley - Gov - (NC) - (-) - Easley moved down one spot, really only because Warner moved up. I like Easley a lot, and can easily see him running a successful campaign. Right now the grassroots movement is behind Warner, but that could change at anytime.

I have a couple of new candidates this week and here they are:

9. Phil Bredesen - Gov - Tenn - (+) He moved up from not rated last week. The New Republic rated Bredesen as the the only A candidate for the Democrats in 2008. He, of course, has the formula on his side, but even fewer people know him than Easley. Bredesen has a record of providing over one-half billion new dollars into the local schools, built a new local library system and drove the crime rate down as Mayor of Nashville. He also created good jobs as he brought Dell Computer and HCA Inc to Nashville. As Governor he has operated on a balanced budget and his focus has been on creating good jobs and bettering public education. He also enacted the toughest ethics rules in the history of Tennessee's executive branch.

10. Tom Vilsack - Gov - IA - (+) - Vilsack was also unrated last week. Vilsack is interesting because he is Blue Governor in a Red State, but that state is just barely Red. The Midwest is a key region of the country and that is a real plus for Vilsack. When Vilsack became governor in 1998 he was Iowa's first Democratic Governor in 30 years, so he know how to break a losing streak. Under his leadership an amazing 94% of all children in Iowa have medical insurance. He has reduced class sizes in elementary schools, and Iowa's elementary school students consistently place at the top in math and science in the country. He has worked hard in Iowa on alternative fuel sources like ethanol and at creating high paying jobs in the agricultural industry. You may remember that John Kerry briefly considered Vilsack for his running mate this year.

There you have it. Keep your comments and criticism's coming.


1 Comments:

At 11/24/2004 12:30:00 AM, Blogger The Green Pinko said...

Don't forget Al Gore. Even though he lost, technically, he still garnered a majority of the vote. He could be a viable candidate in 2008. I think his decision not to run in 2004 was based on America's attitude towards Islam. That could and should change in 2008.

 

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